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Will Solana hit 100,000 sustained TPS in 2025?

Solana's Firedancer validator client promises massive throughput improvements. Will the mainnet achieve and sustain 100,000 TPS for 24+ hours?

Yes Probability

41%

No Probability

59%

Total Volume

$156K

Liquidity

$28K

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Solana's Firedancer validator client promises massive throughput improvements.

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Probability Over Time

YES
NO
YES
41¢
NO
59¢

Trade Position

SOL
Est. shares2.05
Max payout1.220 SOL
Market volume$156K
Implied prob.41%

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AI Oracle

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58%

Confidence

Oracle Verdict

Firedancer testnet shows 800k+ TPS. Mainnet rollout timeline uncertain but Q4 2025 integration is plausible.

Oracle Confidence58%

Sentiment

Bearish

On-chain

Active

Trend

→ Neutral

Market Info

ResolutionDec 31, 2025
CreatedNov 10, 2024
Market IDsolana-100k-tps
NetworkSolana Devnet