Space50 days remaining
Will SpaceX land humans on Mars before 2027?
Elon Musk has repeatedly stated Starship will carry humans to Mars. With Starship reaching orbit, will a crewed Mars landing happen before January 2027?
Yes Probability
12%
No Probability
88%
Total Volume
$198K
Liquidity
$31K
Source Tweet
@
Source Account· Verified
Elon Musk has repeatedly stated Starship will carry humans to Mars.
View on X →Probability Over Time
YES
NO
YES
12¢
NO
88¢
Trade Position
SOL
Est. shares0.60
Max payout4.167 SOL
Market volume$198K
Implied prob.12%
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AI Oracle
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94%
Confidence
Oracle Verdict
NASA timelines and SpaceX engineering milestones make a pre-2027 crewed Mars landing highly improbable.
Oracle Confidence94%
Sentiment
Bullish
On-chain
Active
Trend
↑ Strong
Market Info
ResolutionDec 31, 2026
CreatedSep 20, 2024
Market IDspacex-mars-2026
NetworkSolana Devnet